Nicolas Baena vs Toby Alex Kodat Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve form shows Toby Alex Kodat excelling with a 41.46% win rate compared to Nicolas Baena's 35.71%. Could this indicate a greater probability of winning? Yes, as higher second serve success often correlates with match wins.
• Nicolas Baena outperforms in return games, winning 56.52% of opponents' second serves while Kodat achieves 44.86%. First serve return stats further favor Baena at 34.48% over Kodat's 31.52%, suggesting a return game edge for Baena.
• Under pressure, Kodat appears more resilient, saving 51.63% of breakpoints compared to Baena’s 36.36%. Can this be crucial? Absolutely, returning breakpoints is pivotal in maintaining match advantage.
• Over the past year, Kodat has a higher win percentage at 57.45% compared to Baena’s 50.00%, indicating greater consistency and form over a larger sample of matches.
• Both players show equal inclination toward clay with Kodat showing stronger performance on a broader range of surfaces. Does this affect predictions? Yes, adaptability to playing conditions is important.
• Baena’s matches have generally been at the Futures/Satellites level, with a limited sample size of matches played. By contrast, Kodat boasts a 54.17% win rate in more competitive Futures/Satellites tournaments, suggesting a higher play level.
• Toby Alex Kodat contests against stronger opponents on average (rank 77.96 vs. Baena’s 116), potentially indicating better preparedness for higher-tier competition.
• In deciding sets, Kodat has an advantage, having won 50% in past tournaments, while Baena has yet to secure a deciding set victory.

Editorial Prediction (December 18, 2025, UTC):

The head-to-head statistics between Nicolas Baena and Toby Alex Kodat present a nuanced comparison. Kodat excels on second serve points and displays formidable breakpoint defenses, marking him as a robust competitor under pressure.

Baena has superior return game statistics, capturing more opponent serves, yet struggles in crucial deciding sets and contesting against high-ranked players, which Kodat navigates more adeptly. Kodat also engages at a slightly higher competitive level and has more experience against stronger opponents.

Given these considerations, Toby Alex Kodat emerges as the likely favorite to win the upcoming match. His balanced strengths, higher match experience, and resilience under pressure form a solid foundation for success against Baena.